Could Haley Win?

(In honor of the Good Friday “Haleyday,” today’s posts will focus on Darling Nikki and the GOP)

Nikki Haley managed to survive about two years of the Trump administration without seriously damaging her reputation, which proves that she has some serious political skills. It will be a great surprise if she doesn’t run for president in 2024. Could she win?

No. The GOP is now driven by its reactionary wing, and Haley will never be acceptable to the far right, for two reasons. First, she’s a woman, which won’t fly with a large segment of the far right; and second, she plays ball to an unacceptable degree with the establishment. She will be the Marco Rubio or the Kamala Harris of the GOP in 2024; in trying to build bridges to both the far and the moderate right, she will satisfy neither.

Barring an unlikely Biden blowout win in November, the GOP nominee will be the Trumpiest member of the next generation: in all likelihood, Hawley or Cotton. Remember–you heard it here first.