Driven by warmer weather and relatively low housing prices, there has been a perceptible shift of population from blue to red states. Should we expect that to continue?
Possibly not, for two reasons. First, housing prices in cities such as Austin and Charlotte have gone up significantly over the last several years. Rising prices and housing shortages are not limited to New York and San Francisco. Second, liberals tend to migrate to blue cities in red states, but red state governments are increasingly preempting the right of liberal municipal governments to regulate on social issues. As a result, red states may look less welcoming to blue people in the future.
Climate change may become a factor in the foreseeable future, too. It isn’t helping California, but it may help New York.