On the Verdict and the Fallout

Trump is guilty on all counts. Now what?

As to the consequences for the election, you can be certain this will have no impact on the base; if anything, they will take it as still more proof that he is a martyr for their cause. The real question revolves around undecided swing voters. Can they bring themselves to vote for a convicted felon? We will have some idea of that when we see the next round of polls, but we won’t really know until November.

The other question, in my mind, is whether there will be a violent response from members of the extreme right. I think there probably will be. We’ll see.