The two fighters have battered each other into exhaustion. In the red corner, the Russians have been reduced to begging North Korea for weapons and recycling the grain blockade idea; in the blue corner, Ukraine is still putting its hopes on new and better weapons from NATO. Neither is likely to result in a breakthrough any time soon.
What could break the stalemate? The only obvious answer to that is a Trump victory in 2024. I don’t see anything on the Ukrainian side that will do the trick.
I think we are headed for a Korean “solution.” Both sides’ losses are unsustainable, and are availing them very little. The pace of the war is likely to slow down as the world waits for the 2024 election.