There is no doubt the Conservatives are going to win an overwhelming victory in the upcoming election. Here are the real unknowns:
1. Will the divisions on Brexit in the Conservative Party get better, or worse, after the election? I’m guessing the answer is worse. The economic stakes for the country will become more pressing and obvious as time goes on, and party discipline will be less of an issue with a huge majority. Effective opposition to the government may well shift from Labour to pro-business members within the party.
2. What happens to Labour after it is crushed? One imagines Corbyn will resign or be replaced, but his followers will still be there. In my view, the odds on a split and the ultimate demise of the party are no worse than even.