I’m one for one.
Cruz desperately needed to win Iowa, given its favorable demographics and the intensity of his campaign there. He succeeded. Trump underperformed, but remains dangerous; the bubble won’t pop overnight. Rubio put plenty of distance between himself and the other Romney Coalition candidates; the story behind the story, however, is that the establishment candidates collectively only received about a third of the vote, which should be of great concern to his supporters.
Now, we move on to New Hampshire, where the demographics and the needs of the candidates are completely different. Cruz just needs a respectable showing; a reasonably strong third would be fine. Rubio needs to crush the candidates in his lane and finish no worse than second. Trump needs a win–period.
My guess is that all three will get what they want. A battle in South Carolina, which is fairly neutral turf, looms very large.
On the Democratic side, a virtual tie, while hardly glamorous, was adequate for Clinton’s purposes. She will lose in New Hampshire, but her Southern/minority firewall will hold, and she will win the nomination easily.