I am happy to report that most of my predictions regarding the GOP race have been shown to be accurate. In particular, I have always given Ted Cruz a much better chance than most of the pundits, and I identified Rubio as the leading Romney Coalition candidate several months ago. I must admit, however, that I did not believe that Trump would survive as the frontrunner as long as he has.
A fairly large number of pundits and pollsters still flatly assert in the face of all of the evidence that Trump has no chance to win the nomination because his campaign does not have the support of the GOP establishment. I don’t think the people who make those statements fully understand how the GOP has changed over the last several years. I still believe that Trump will be beaten in the long run, but only if the establishment is willing to finance a shock and awe negative ad campaign about his numerous deviations from the party line. So far, that hasn’t happened; Jeb Bush calling Trump a jerk isn’t going to cut it.
Koch, where is thy sting?