2020: The Nightmare Scenario

Here’s how it could all go wrong:

1.  Multiple realo candidates split the realo vote during the primaries.  The Democrats consequently nominate a fundi, who promises to roll back the entire Trump tax cut and to use the money for massive new spending programs, including single-payer.
2.  Alarmed by the anti-business tenor of the Democrats’ campaign, Michael Bloomberg decides he has to take the plunge and runs for president.
3.  The CDs and disaffected PBPs who might otherwise support the Democratic candidate are put off by the tax increase and promises of new spending and vote for Bloomberg.
4.  The Reactionaries, as usual, vote for their values, not their economic self-interest.  They stick with Trump.
5.  Some moderate Democrats vote for Bloomberg.  The new voters who are supposed to deliver the revolution do not show up (they never do).
6.  As a result, in spite of his unpopularity, Trump wins a smashing victory in 2020 over a divided opposition with 40 percent of the vote.  The madness intensifies.