My predictions on domestic affairs were right on target. Here is the list, and what actually happened:
- TAX CUTS: I predicted that, after much grunting and groaning, something like the BBB would ultimately be approved, which was correct.
- SPENDING CUTS: In the same vein, we did see significant spending cuts in discretionary spending and in the less popular entitlement programs, and the deficit continued to be a problem.
- TARIFFS: I was too optimistic about the universal tariffs, but I was right about the chaotic rollout of the programs and the impacts of the ensuing uncertainty.
- DEPORTATIONS: I predicted that there would be plenty of terror, but that Trump would quietly tell ICE to back off on agricultural and food industry workers. There is an ongoing debate within the administration on the latter point, but for the most part, I would say my guess was correct. Immigrants everywhere have been threatened, but of the activity has taken place in the cities.
- POLITICAL PROSECUTIONS: They have happened, as I suggested, but my prediction that Trump would lay off the most visible targets was wrong.
- END OF THE BROMANCE: Right on schedule.