On Tipping Points

At long last, BoJo will go! It isn’t because he consistently lies to Parliament and the nation; that’s just accepted as part of his personality. It’s because his party has concluded that he has become a huge electoral liability. The combination of the horrible polls, the lost by-elections, and the departure of prominent ministers constituted a tipping point from which he could not recover.

Donald Trump would never have become the leader of the GOP in a parliamentary system; his strength lies with the base, not the establishment. That said, the question arises: if Cipollone confirms Hutchinson’s testimony about Trump’s behavior on and about January 6, will that be a tipping point for the GOP? Will it give anyone with a legitimate chance to win the nerve to challenge Trump for the nomination?

The likely answer is no; the base has been trained to believe that anything negative that anyone, regardless of how prominent, honorable, and reliable he is, says about Trump is fake news. The establishment will continue to blast him in private and defend him in public for fear of alienating the base and losing power.