Once Roe is finally dead, you can anticipate a rush to adopt abortion prohibitions with few if any exceptions in the red states. There will be some perfunctory discussion about exceptions for rape, incest, and the like, but most of the new statutes will be very close to absolute prohibitions. This may look like terrible politics, but the reactionaries will take the position that they haven’t paid any price thus far, and that the electorate is already as polarized as it can get, so the risk is minimal.
At first, this may appear to be true. At some point, however, the MSM will start running horror stories about the plight of women who have been denied abortions. There will be a new groundswell of opposition to the law inspired by these stories. The law will be modified accordingly.
That’s what happened in Ireland. It will happen in Texas, too.