The few remaining moderate Republicans have long worried that the overturning of Roe would be a poisoned chalice. Are they correct?
Probably not, except on the margins. It is true that prohibiting abortion will further alienate young people, and may drive up turnout a bit in midterm elections. Since the Trump years, however, it has been abundantly clear that the GOP is a reactionary organization run solely in the interests of old angry white Christians. Eliminating legal abortions won’t tell anyone anything that isn’t already blindingly obvious.
The GOP no longer has any interest in winning the support of a majority of Americans, anyway. It is putting its faith in the Electoral College, gerrymandering, and vote suppression.