On the GOP’s Crime Conundrum

Crime is falling. With the exception of a blip during the first years of the pandemic, it has been falling for decades, due mostly to the demographic changes the New Right otherwise fears so much. It started to fall again in Biden’s later years, and the decline has continued under Trump. What should the GOP say about this?

Trump could try and take credit for the decline, of course. But you would never know that crime was falling by watching the TV news, and to crow about his success would take the sting out of one of Trump’s favorite arguments–that real Americans are still in mortal danger from the rest of us, including illegal immigrants. As a result, I think it is highly unlikely he will emphasize his apparent success; he will continue to pound the left’s supposed failures and try to scare us into voting for Republicans.

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