Arms and the Right

Shortly after the election, I did a post which pointed out the disconnect between the GOP’s policy positions and the actual objectives of the right (censorship; school purges; religious tests). Almost on cue, state legislatures started passing bills that corresponded to these reactionary wish lists.

In addition to this, some reactionary intellectual leaders have figured out that they can’t get everything they want through our current system of government. They are calling for a counterrevolution of some kind, but not prescribing how it would happen. How long will it take before we start seeing a much more widespread and dangerous militia movement in response to these calls for action?

Things are moving fast. I hope I’m wrong, but my guess is that the right will start openly threatening violence before 2024.

On Virtue and the Vaccine

If you’re a social conservative, you look around America and see nothing but filth. Pornography, homosexuality, and adultery are everywhere. The government needs to impose traditional values by force, even over the objections of the immoral majority if necessary, to create the virtuous society. Sure, they will complain at first, but in the long run, they will be grateful for it. And you, of course, will no longer have to view a parade of horribles that offends you to the core.

Since social conservatives have no qualms about forcing people to be virtuous, you would think they would support vaccine mandates. But no! In matters involving life and death, it is freedom of choice, not saving lives, that matters most.

This is, of course, rank hypocrisy. And if you think the libertarian left is open to the same charge, remember that sexual morality and public health present different issues. The former is filled with debatable gray areas, but there is no moral or intellectual case for the victory of the virus.

On Reactionaries and Community

For all of his obvious weaknesses, Trump was occasionally praised by serious commentators for his view that America was more than the sum of its over 300 million individual parts. In other words, he was allegedly a communitarian, not a libertarian. Is there any merit to this?

No, for two reasons. First, Trump’s taxing and spending policies were all standard GOP fare—catnip for PBPs and CLs, not CDs and Reactionaries. Second, the only kind of community that Reactionaries support is one in which they have complete economic and social control over everyone else. You can hardly expect the identity left to buy into a vision of a single, unified America in which they are only given a subordinate part.

More on Boomers and Millennials

Millennials like to assert that they have little in common with the failed, corrupt Boomer generation. Is that true?

Consider the recent phenomenon of prominent Millennials stepping away to protect their mental health. My parents—members of the Silent Generation—would have snorted with derision at the idea that this was a noble act; they would have gritted their teeth and gotten on with it. Boomers take the argument more seriously—after all, the Clinton Administration famously had more people with experience in therapy than the military—but ultimately side with our parents. Millennials give priority to their own well-being over notions of duty and patriotism.

What we have here is a vector, with Boomers in the middle. As with civil rights issues, Millennials have simply taken the Boomer position a step further to the left. The difference is of degree, not kind.

A Trump Coup in 2024?

Mitt Romney, a PBP, was the Republican nominee in 2012. Trump only had a plurality—not a majority—in the primaries in 2016. Today, however, the Reactionaries are a clear majority faction, and they have been radicalized. That was the great “accomplishment” of the last four years.

It is no longer permissible for a GOP politician to express doubt in public that Trump actually won the election. If Trump decides to run in 2024, will reactionary state and local politicians take the next logical step and vote to overturn a Biden victory?

The pressure put on them by the base will be enormous. It really depends on how many PBPs manage to get elected at the state level in 2022. Any place where Reactionaries represent a majority of legislators is a potential trouble spot, because they will probably be pledged to do whatever is necessary to assure a GOP victory regardless of the actual outcome of the election. If the Democrats and PBPs are a majority, however, the election is probably safe.

The bottom line is that 2024 is likely to result in either an irrevocably divided GOP, or a shattered nation, if Trump is the nominee.

On “Good” and “Bad” Trump

If you were to ask Bolton and Barr why they chose to work for such a flawed, dangerous man, they would probably tell you that they were attracted to a pure ideological reactionary—“Good Trump”—and they thought the angry narcissist “Bad Trump” could be managed.

They were blind. There is no “Good Trump”: the bad one is the entire package. And if he runs in 2024, his platform will be to finish off liberal democracy in America to get even for his loss in 2020. That would be the only possible logic behind his candidacy. He doesn’t stand for anything else—not even the dictatorship of the Reactionaries, although there would be a large element of that in his next term.

On the GOP and “Good” Poverty

The evidence clearly shows that poverty has declined dramatically as the result of the various Covid mitigation payments over the last several months. To the GOP, this is no cause for celebration. Government programs only cause dependency, they say. “Good” poverty forces people to work harder and ultimately propels them to prosperity.

In reality, minimum wage jobs are usually the gateway to more minimum wage jobs, not the middle class. That’s the point, of course. The GOP represents business owners, retirees, and investors, not workers. In a perfect right-wing world, everyone who isn’t a capitalist in one way or another would have a low-paying job with no benefits and would be completely at the mercy of employers.

A Limerick on Biles

On the female gymnast named Biles.

You have certainly heard of her trials.

They call her the GOAT.

Does that stick in your throat?

They’d be wise to shut up for awhile.

A Limerick on the Olympics

On the Tokyo Olympic Games.

It’s a chance to find fortune and fame.

We expect you to win.

If you don’t, it’s a sin.

We’ll be looking for someone to blame.

Blessed Are the Gatekeepers (3)

When I was growing up, the MSM—effectively, the owners and operators of a handful of newspapers, TV networks, periodicals, and movie studios—decided what was and wasn’t worthy of public discussion, and what was and wasn’t respectable opinion. It was censorship of a sort, but it gave everyone a reasonable degree of choice, and it wasn’t enforced by the government. It kept a diverse nation from flying apart, but it wasn’t oppressive. In short, it worked.

Today’s landscape is very different. The MSM have given way to the lawless internet. Mark Zuckerberg doesn’t want the job, partly because it costs him money, and partly because he doubts his legitimacy as an unelected national censor. Lots of other people doubt it, too.

This situation is unsustainable. It will not last. The government is going to step in sooner or later; in fact, it is already happening in red states with ambitious governors. Unfortunately, that means the stakes in elections are going to get even higher, and the culture war is going to get even more vicious.

Tudor Counterfactual: Elizabeth Dies in 1562

Elizabeth I barely survived a bout with smallpox in 1562. Based purely on genealogical principles, Mary Stuart would have been her successor. Would the Queen of Scots ever taken the English throne?

There are arguments both ways. Mary was viewed as a politique in 1562, she had a kingdom behind her, there was no single obvious Protestant candidate, and the Council would have been divided. The Mary Tudor precedent would have given her additional hope. On the other hand, unlike Mary Tudor, the Queen of Scots was a foreigner, and the leading English nobles would have been in no mood to repeat their experience with a Catholic Queen. They probably would have reached an agreement on a male Protestant candidate fairly quickly.

In the end, it probably would have come down to Mary’s willingness to provide guarantees that would have satisfied the Protestants. It would have been an unstable situation at best, and in the long run, as in Protestant Scotland, it could not have worked.

On Punishing the Guilty

The numbers are clear and overwhelming: millions of deaths caused by the virus; none by vaccines. Nevertheless, about a hundred million Americans continue to refuse the vaccine, for reasons ranging from the spiteful and malicious to the merely stupid. So what do we do now?

In a nutshell, there are three choices:

  1. Stick with the current program, which isn’t working. That results in countless new deaths. Almost all of these, at first, are unvaccinated people, but sooner or later, our inability to reach herd immunity leads to a new variant that infects vaccinated people, as well.
  2. Make the incentive program even more attractive to the unvaccinated, and impose mask mandates on the entire population, which primarily means the vaccinated, as the unvaccinated will probably refuse to wear masks. This amounts to punishing the vaccinated to appease the unvaccinated; worse, there is no guarantee it would work, so the new regime would have to go on indefinitely—probably for years.
  3. Permit state governments and employers to impose vaccine mandates. Strip anyone who refuses the vaccine of all government benefits. In other words, impose sanctions on people who are putting our lives and freedoms at risk.

Is this really a hard choice?

Tudor Counterfactual: Mary’s Son

If you are an English patriot, this is the nightmare scenario: Mary Tudor dies shortly after giving birth to a healthy son. The ensuing government is dominated by Philip and the Spaniards. A Protestant rebellion is crushed by Spanish troops. The Inquisition comes to England. The Dutch revolt is overcome with English assistance. England is now effectively a Spanish colony, and the Counter-Reformation is triumphant all over Europe.

It could have happened. What appears inevitable today is largely the product of luck.

On Simone Biles and Prince Harry

As viewers of “The Crown” know, life amongst the royals involves a trade off—comfort, wealth, and status in exchange for the loss of freedom to live as you see fit. Inevitably, members of the family rebel and demand freedom, while attempting to retain the benefits of the deal. At that point, things get messy. Just ask Prince Harry.

The Simone Biles episode has some of the same characteristics. Biles could have relieved her stress by skipping the Olympic Trials, giving up all of her endorsement money, and declining the interviews in which she was repeatedly (and without objection from her) described as the GOAT. She didn’t do that. Instead, she took the money and then left her team and her country holding the bag.

Biles is trying to portray herself as another Naomi Osaka, but the circumstances are very different. Osaka was competing as an individual, not part of a national team that was relying on her. She had the right to back out. Biles did not.

I was complaining bitterly about the Biles hype machine days before the team final. Now the whole thing just makes me want to throw up.