On Adam and Eve in 2021

Thomas Edsall wrote a typically windy column about the relationship between racism and opposition to abortion rights a few days ago. The reality is that the two run in parallel, and are often found in the same people, but are not identical.

The syllogism on abortion typically runs like this:

  1. God is a man. The Bible says so.
  2. Man was created first. He is the default, as it were, and consequently has the right to rule.
  3. Eve ruined everything by succumbing to Satan, and persuading Adam to do likewise.
  4. Women, following Eve, are responsible for all sexual sins through their ability to tempt men from their adherence to God’s law. As a result, their behavior must be strictly controlled by men. Prohibiting abortion is an obvious part of that package.

If this sounds like something the Taliban would say, so be it. When you combine these attitudes with lost status for men in the knowledge economy, you have a formula for instability.

A New Manchin Limerick

On the Democrat Senator Joe.

I can’t tell just which way he will go.

Dispensing with coal’s

Not a plausible goal

For his state is bright red, as you know.

On the SALT Deduction and Disaster Relief

Some left-leaning commentators view the limitations on the SALT deduction in the Trump tax cut as progressive, because they impact wealthy people in blue states. I don’t agree, for two reasons: first, it is fundamentally unfair to require anyone to pay taxes on funds that he does not own or control, because they are legally obligated to the government; and second, because the SALT limitation was a gratuitous attempt by red state Republicans to injure people in blue states. It was spiteful, pure and simple.

Hurricane season always comes with a call for blue states to bail out the climate change deniers in the red Gulf Coast states. If I were a blue state member of Congress, I would demand an end to the SALT limitations for my constituents in exchange for disaster relief. The national solidarity street should run both ways, or neither.

On the Illiberal Right and Left

A recent issue of The Economist was largely devoted to discussions about the evils of the illiberal left. The magazine acknowledged that the right is a bigger threat, but had nothing else to say about the danger from that quarter.

I will fill in the gaps for you:

  1. While the illiberal left takes philosophical positions that are debatably false, the illiberal right accepts “facts” that are demonstrably false.
  2. The illiberal left does not have a following among prominent members of the Democratic Party. The last American President is the leader of the illiberal right, and he has plenty of company.
  3. The base of the Republican Party is unambiguously illiberal. The leadership has no interest in persuading it to change its views. Democratic voters chose a liberal to represent them in 2020.
  4. The illiberal right supported an attempted insurrection. The Twitter left has never attacked liberal democracy in this country.

I don’t have much use for the illiberal left, but it should be obvious why I don’t waste much time and energy worrying about them.

California Voting

The happiest man in America today is Gavin Newsom. The second-happiest is Terry McAuliffe, because Newsom just proved that running vigorously against Trump and the extreme right still works in blue states in 2021.

Whether it will continue to work in 2022 remains to be seen. In the meantime, the Trump playbook—exploit procedural advantages, whip up the base, and whine about a rigged election—has fallen short again. Will the GOP learn anything from the experience? Don’t hold your breath.

On Barrett at the McConnell Center

Standing directly in front of the man who expedited her nomination in the waning days of the Trump era, Justice Barrett argued yesterday that the Supreme Court is not a partisan institution, and that the public doesn’t understand the difference between politics and judicial philosophy.

Tell that to Justice Garland. I’m surprised Mitch didn’t burst out laughing.

To reiterate, it is true that most of the Supreme Court’s business is not partisan in a narrow sense, and that differences in jurisprudence matter, even among the members of the right-wing majority. It is also true, however, that the GOP has very clear positions on culture war issues, that these issues are often decided by the Supreme Court, and that Barrett was put on the Court specifically for the purpose of deciding the issues in favor of the GOP. To deny that the Court is a partisan institution at this point is to be willfully blind.

On GOP Vaccine Hypocrisy

For the GOP, during the campaign, the economy was everything. Even staunchly “pro-life” Republicans called for the elderly to live normal lives and risk death for the sake of GDP and the Trump re-election effort.

Today, with a free, effective vaccine in place, it’s all about personal freedom, not the economy. Refusing the vaccine, of course, has the collateral effect of making Biden’s record look worse than it should. Coincidence? Possibly not.

If we were back in 2020, do you think for a minute that the GOP would be tolerant of anti-vaxxers, and so opposed to mandates? This is cynical, opportunistic libertarianism, not the real thing.

On Business and the Biden Economy

If you’re a CEO of a large American company, your primary interest is in maximizing profits and share prices. There are basically two ways to do that. One focuses on costs; keeping wages and taxes down obviously helps. If all businesses succeed in this, however, the result is inadequate demand and the dollar store economy. The alternative is to increase wages and deepen the welfare state in order to boost domestic demand. This is the crux of the Biden plan.

Business wants it all—low taxes and wages, but lots of workers and high demand. That can’t happen. As a result, the choice has been made. The dollar store economy, it is.

On Biden’s Vaccine Mandate Gamble

Right-wing critics of the new mandates argue they will just make the anti-vaxxers dig in. There is clearly some truth to that. Does that make the mandates a bad bet?

No. Biden is assuming that: the hard core vaccine opponents can only be motivated by sticks at this point; the number of people who will get the vaccine purely as the result of the mandates far exceeds the number who will now never get it for ideological reasons; the economy will improve as a result; and the mandates will have the strong support of the large majority of the population that took the vaccine and resents the irresponsibility of the anti-vaxxers.

My guess is that all of these assumptions are correct.

On Traffic Mandates

I have decided that I will no longer obey traffic laws when I am driving in red states. They are an infringement on my personal freedom. My car, my choice.

But, you say, I will be endangering other people if I just start running red lights. So what? It’s all about me, and my rights! I have the power, and the willingness to use it. If you can’t deal with that, just stay off the roads.

On 9/11 at 20

Osama is best considered as the political and intellectual heir to the anarchists who terrorized Europe and America around the turn of the 20th century. He thought that the 9/11 attacks would cripple the Great Satan, leave the Western world rudderless, and inspire Muslims to create the universal caliphate. Twenty years later, how does that look?

Osama was a failure, and not just because we killed him years later. While America overreacted to the attacks, engaged in imperial overreach, and is somewhat diminished on the world stage, the beneficiary has been China—not exactly a friend of militant Islam. The Islamic fundamentalists have discredited themselves all over the globe. Terrorism is on the wane. The world is far better prepared to deal with it. The universal caliphate, like the anarchist utopia, is still a distant dream; it is authoritarian government that is on the rise.

On 9/11 and 1/6

Paul Krugman thinks the revolutionary GOP of 2020 already existed in embryo after 9/11. Is he right?

Not exactly. It is true that the party led by George W. Bush was religiously wedded to tax cuts and deregulation, regardless of the circumstances; that, obviously, has not changed. Bush also used culture war tactics to get re-elected in 2004. The current state of the GOP, however, is more the product of his failures than his successes.

The CDs and the PBPs were in charge during the Bush years; the Reactionaries just provided the votes and kept quiet. The Iraq War and the Great Recession completely discredited the CDs, in the eyes of the Reactionaries. The GOP establishment lost control of the rank and file, and the rest is history; today, Donald Trump is the establishment, and anyone who crosses him is toast.

On Jobs and Infrastructure

The NYT tells us that the Biden infrastructure plan may be slowed by the lack of qualified construction workers. What conclusions should we draw from this?

That infrastructure programs are designed to enhance future productivity, not to create jobs in the short run, and that the progressive plan to make public college free for everyone makes no sense. We need more construction workers, not more college graduates. Making community college free would assist in this, but the plan shouldn’t apply to four year colleges.

On Bannon and Identity Politics

Steve Bannon is fond of saying that identity politics only work for the right. Is that true?

In the short run, yes, because the right is far more homogeneous than the left, even though it has many ideological differences. In the long run, it will be a different story. There simply won’t be enough elderly white Christians to win national elections.