President Biden is said to be haunted by the images of the American withdrawal from Vietnam. And with good reason! No one seriously believes the Afghan government will survive long after our troops leave, and what happens next won’t be pretty. Anyone who advocated withdrawal had better be prepared for that.
It won’t be an exact rerun of Saigon, however. There were no warlords in South Vietnam in 1975, so the government survived until it was defeated on the battlefield. The Afghan government, on the other hand, has minimal support and is likely to start imploding very shortly. Power will return to the warlords; some of them will fight the Taliban, while others will look to make deals. There won’t be much left by the time we withdraw. There won’t be peace, either.