Three Lessons of the Election

The election told us–or, perhaps, reminded us–about three features of American politics:

  1. The culture wars and the unequal geographic distribution of power create the framework for our system. Urban and suburban residents whose vision of America is a tolerant multi-racial liberal democracy vote for Democrats; exurban and rural residents who think of America as a white Christian country under threat from other races and cultures vote for Republicans. The former group is a clear majority of the country; the latter enjoys disproportionate power, in spite of its minority status, due to the workings of our federal system and the Electoral College.
  2. Trump’s failures with the pandemic, attacks on our political system, and obvious personal shortcomings ultimately swayed just enough votes to cost him the election. That they were not sufficient to create a blue wave is a testament to the overriding importance of #1 above.
  3. The idea, much cherished by the left, that there is an army of left-leaning apathetic voters who are just waiting to be mobilized is false. Unprecedented efforts to get out the vote by both parties resulted in something close to a deadlock. Millions of the previously apathetic voters turned out to be Trump supporters, not closet socialists. Bernie, Liz, and AOC, take notice.