On the Senate and Climate Change

Biden is making massive investments in green infrastructure a centerpiece of his campaign, for both environmental and economic reasons. In light of the recession and ongoing climate change, this makes perfect sense. If the Democrats succeed in taking control of the Senate, is the approval of this initiative a done deal?

No, for the same reason that cap-and-trade failed: Senate Democrats will not be completely united on environmental issues. Biden will not be able to rely on Joe Manchin, or any Democratic senators from Montana, to vote against the interests of coal miners; in addition, there will problems getting anyone from Pennsylvania to put an end to fracking. The only way green investments will get through the Senate, regardless of any concerns about the filibuster, is if these people are essentially bought off with lots of funding for their respective states. That’s the American way.

Fortunately, Biden understands the Senate and is good at making deals, so he might succeed here where his more rigidly ideological colleagues would fail.