The Primaries and Base Mobilization

As we know, there are plenty of progressives who argue that there are no real swing voters, and that the key to success in November is the ability to coax apathetic left-leaning millennials to the polls by offering them lots of new government spending programs. Are they right?

Based on history, almost certainly not, but the good news is that we don’t have to extrapolate; the primaries will tell us if the theory is accurate or not. If hordes of new voters come out to support Sanders, he’ll be the nominee, and deservedly so. If they don’t, and he loses, why would anyone continue to believe that he has a better chance to beat Trump than Biden?