It seems inevitable that the Conservative electorate will have to choose between Boris Johnson and a softer Brexit proponent running as a unity candidate. Boris will win that one easily. Then what?
As I noted in a previous post, Remainer MPs within the party will have a difficult choice. Most will swallow their principles and support Boris due to personal ambition and fear of Corbyn. Older MPs with no aspirations probably won’t. The government may or may not survive. If it doesn’t, there will be a general election. That’s when things really start happening.
Johnson is a skilled campaigner. The Brexit Party has no reason to exist as long as he speaks for the Conservatives. As a result, the Conservatives will sweep the Leave vote. The Remain vote will actually be larger, but will be split among several parties, as most voters will not trust Corbyn’s belated promise of a second referendum. The outcome? The Conservatives win a crushing victory, the Liberal Democrats finish second, and Labour evolves into a small, hard left party with a few MPs from decaying industrial hinterlands.
Oh, and the UK ultimately leaves without a deal in spite of the clear wishes of a majority of the electorate and the current Parliament. That is a subject for another day.