Four Ways the War Ends

Here they are, in order of their plausibility:

  1. TRUMP MAKES AN OBAMA DEAL: He then turns around and insists that the deal and the war were a great success. The base is persuaded, but no one else is.
  2. TRUMP TAKES THE OFFRAMP: He walks away and declares victory, having accomplished none of his initial objectives. The Iranians are now in control of the Strait of Hormuz. Bibi is furious.
  3. TRUMP ESCALATES AND COMMITS WAR CRIMES: Seeking more leverage for a deal, Trump attacks civilians and vital civilian infrastructure in Iran. The use of nuclear weapons cannot be ruled out completely. At the end of the war, Iran is a smoking ruin.
  4. TRUMP LAUNCHES A MASSIVE GROUND ASSAULT: Having finally realized that the only way to change the regime is through a ground assault, Trump violates a core America First principle and launches a large-scale ground attack. It works, but the base is turned off forever.

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