Donald Trump started his second term as an elderly lame duck. Now his poll ratings are a potential threat to every GOP member of Congress. Does that mean we can expect more independence from them?
Not immediately, because most of them live in safe districts in which the greatest threat would be from a MAGA primary challenger, not a Democrat. If MAGA starts to splinter, however–and that could happen during a battle for the succession between the midterms and the 2028 election–the story could change.