Joe Biden initially ran in 2020 as a moderate who could work with Republicans, get things done, and beat Trump. When the pandemic completely changed the political landscape, he turned into a wannabe FDR who would transform the dollar store economy into something more equitable for workers. In office, he had some successes, but the FDR phase died at the hands of inflation, Manchin, and Sinema. So how will he run in 2024? Will he try to inspire the public with leftist rhetoric, or will he be the Great Triangulator?
I think we will see some of both, but mostly B. The fear of Trump in office is still his strongest card, and there is no realistic possibility of the Democrats winning a large enough majority in the Senate to ram through an ambitious agenda. In fact, the likelihood is that they won’t have a majority at all after 2024.