Five Reasons the War Won’t Spread

  1. IRAN AND ITS PROXIES THINK THEY’RE WINNING AS IT IS: Mass martyrdom, with all of its political implications, was always the point here. Why mess with a good thing?
  2. IRAN AND THE OTHER PROXIES WEREN’T CONSULTED BEFORE HAMAS ATTACKED: It’s their war, so why bail them out?
  3. IRAN NEVER PUT MUCH FAITH IN THE MILITARY CAPABILITIES OF HAMAS: Hezbollah is a far more competent fighting force. Hamas is just about ideology and politics.
  4. HEZBOLLAH ISN’T REALLY DESIGNED FOR AN OFFENSIVE WAR: It is very difficult to beat in Lebanon, but it doesn’t have the ability to take and hold Israeli land. That is particularly true if the US gets involved, which is a real possibility.
  5. A WAR WITH ISRAEL, AND POSSIBLY THE US, WOULD PROBABLY RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF THE ISLAMIC STATE: Would you really put your regime at risk for Hamas? Didn’t think so.