Trump’s Second Term Scenarios (1)

It was, of course, no surprise that Trump immediately announced that he would refuse to provide the appropriated money to the Ukrainian government upon taking office. He justified this decision by explaining that the Ukrainians were a bunch of corrupt thugs who had attempted to rig American elections against him, and that Putin was our friend. We needed him to combat China. Besides, the Russians needed a big, splashy new hotel in the middle of Moscow.

When the rest of NATO yelped, he then announced we were pulling out of the alliance. When he was told that we could not withdraw from the treaty without overwhelming support from the Senate, which would not be forthcoming, he decided we would remain on paper, but withdraw all of our forces from Europe, and refuse to fund or cooperate with any of the alliance’s activities. We would also ignore our responsibilities under Article 5. NATO quickly fell apart as a result, and the Russians, after inhaling Ukraine, started growling about the Polish border and the Baltic states.

The mainstream of the GOP was appalled by this, but did nothing in response, as usual, for fear of offending the reactionary base. “American First” would mean America alone, just the way Xi and Putin wanted it.