Biden ran as a relative moderate in the 2020 primaries. As a result of the pandemic, he portrayed himself in the general election as FDR for the 21st century. While he had important legislative successes during the first two years of his term, inflation and the Senate killed his attempts to follow through on his ambitions to replace the dollar store economy with a more worker-friendly version. Today, with a GOP majority in the House, he is by both temperament and necessity a Clinton-like triangulator. So how will he run in 2024–as a moderate with bipartisan support protecting us from a right-wing extremist with no regard for liberal democracy, or as the visionary who wants to finish the job of remaking America?
I think you will see some of both, but the predominant theme will be the first one, because it has a better chance of success with swing voters. This time, he will be more Eisenhower than FDR.