The interests and values of the new government are broadly aligned with Biden’s, so relations between the two countries should be relatively smooth. But what happens if Trump runs and wins in 2024? Will the EU and NATO survive?
The only logical basis for a Trump candidacy at this point is to turn him into a human tornado, destroying most of what lies in his path. That’s what he wants, and what his base is begging him to do. It’s hard to see any future for NATO under those circumstances, and the EU will come under plenty of stress, too.