On a Looming GOP Weakness

Today’s GOP is a coalition of the elderly, business, and white workers distracted by the culture wars. The white workers tend to get all of the publicity, but the other two groups are equally important.

The Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds are going to run out of money in the foreseeable future. At that point, benefits will have to be cut significantly unless Congress is willing to raise taxes. That, in turn, means the GOP will have to choose between its elderly supporters and its aversion to raising taxes on wealthy businessmen (i.e., “makers” or “wealth creators.”)

To date, the elderly have simply refused to believe that their Republican buddies would leave them in the lurch. If the Democrats have any sense at all, they need to start talking about tax increases to shore up the entitlement programs in order to force a GOP response that can be used to divide and embarrass the party in the 2022 and 2024 elections.