Notwithstanding the sound and fury, both Biden and Trump agree that the Ukraine war will end with Russian control of some Ukrainian territory and the Ukrainians remaining out of NATO. Does that mean they support the same policies?
No, for two reasons. First, Trump wants to impose an unfavorable peace on Ukraine by withholding assistance. Biden’s changing stance on particular weapons at particular times had some of the same effect, but it was motivated by a fear of World War III, not by any desire to force Zelensky to accept a bad deal. Second, Biden almost certainly would agree to American security guarantees to Ukraine as part of any deal. Trump probably won’t. That represents the difference between South Korea after the cease-fire agreement and Czechoslovakia after Munich.