Unlike Biden, Harris has multiple paths to victory. Like Biden, however, the most plausible route runs through Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Trump’s postelection shenanigans, if they are necessary, are likely to focus on these three states. Which ones should we most worry about?
There are enough Democrats in key positions in Michigan and Pennsylvania to keep these states from sending an alternative slate of electors to Washington. The legislature in Wisconsin, however, is dominated by the GOP as a result of ruthless gerrymandering. If American liberal democracy has an existential crisis in the next few months, therefore, it is likely to start in Madison (the irony is intentional).