On President Vance, Birth Control, and the Godly Society

Imagine that you are J.D. Vance, and it is 2027. You became president when Trump died choking on a cheeseburger. All of the power of the federal government is now at your fingertips. The Godly Society is within reach.

But there is a problem–the tariffs and the deportations aren’t working the economic magic you predicted. The tariffs didn’t lead to the creation of lots of new manufacturing businesses, and the deportations only resulted in inflation and the destruction of thousands of small businesses. The country is deeply dissatisfied. Worse, from your perspective, the birth rate is actually going down. What are you to do?

The logical choice is a national ban on both abortion and birth control. The birth control ban, unfortunately, will be unconstitutional under the prevailing case law, and will also be hideously unpopular with most Republican women, not to mention the rest of the country. How will you deal with that?

The good news on the legal front is that the Supreme Court is dominated by conservative Catholics, and the rationale of the Dobbs decision is applicable on its face to Griswold, as well. You have a pretty good chance of prevailing there. If you don’t, however, you can always fall back on your old opinion; just because Justice Roberts says something doesn’t mean he can enforce it.

As to the political problem, you can address it in Trumpian fashion by changing the subject and finding a left-leaning enemy who represents an existential threat to real America. The women will come around even on an issue as sensitive as birth control as long as they know the only available alternative is always worse.