I made five predictions for 2023. How did they turn out? Would I have made money in Vegas?
Four of the five were correct. The debt ceiling issue was resolved by a coalition of Democrats and GOP moderates; the Supreme Court counterrevolution picked up steam; inflation eased, in accordance with my two-year rule; and Biden chose to run again. The fifth one was a fail, however; the DeSantis campaign is on life support.
I was perfectly aware of some of DeSantis’ shortcomings as a candidate, but I never imagined he would pick unpopular positions and limit his appeal to the voters who weren’t available to him. I also didn’t see that Trump would benefit from, as he and the base see it, being crucified by the deep state on a daily basis. I don’t think the dynamic of the campaign would be substantially different if the indictments had not occurred, but it is possible that it would have been. We will never know.