A New GOP Primary Scenario

Consider this scenario:

  1. Trump wins Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina with a strong plurality, but not a majority.
  2. Christie and Ramaswamy drop out after New Hampshire.
  3. Desperate to avoid a humiliating defeat in his home state, DeSantis concedes after finishing third in South Carolina.

Haley is now Trump’s only remaining opponent. She has the anti-Trump lane to herself. Can she unite the 55-60 percent of the party that will at least consider an alternative to Trump, or is it too late for her?

I think it’s too late; he has too much momentum. My guess is that he wins the remaining primaries by a vote of about 55 to 45 percent. It would be fascinating to watch, however, and it might even force Trump to start debating, which would benefit everyone in the country except him.