I’m guessing that Biden thinks the relatively favorable outcome of the midterms provides support for a re-election campaign and a second term. If so, I don’t agree. The viability of a re-election campaign, in my eyes, is tied completely to the likelihood that the GOP will nominate Trump. Running a man in his eighties against DeSantis would be a disaster.
That said, the decision will apparently come early next year. When, exactly, should he announce, and will he face a primary?
Most commentators believe (and I concur) that DeSantis will announce shortly after the end of Florida’s regular legislative session. Biden probably should make his decision no later than then. As to the likelihood of a primary, the answer is no. The challenge logically would come from the left, but Biden embraced virtually all of the progressive agenda in his first two years, so the left has no reason to be dissatisfied with him. In any event, with a GOP majority in the House and an unfavorable Senate playing field in 2024, the agenda is going nowhere for the foreseeable future, so what’s the point?