It’s 2023, and the new GOP Congress is approaching a debt ceiling cliff. In Scenario 1, the Republican majority in the House is very small, so McCarthy depends on the votes of his extremists to keep him afloat. In Scenario 2, the majority is larger, and McCarthy can afford to ignore MTG, Gaetz, et. al.
In which of these scenarios is it more likely that the debt ceiling will ultimately be raised? That’s right–the crazoids hold the balance of power in Scenario 1, and they won’t hesitate to burn it down.