On the Next Phase of the War

The first phase of the Ukraine war–the blitzkrieg that wasn’t–was a disastrous failure for the Russians. The second phase–terror, slow and indiscriminate destruction, and strangulation–is coming to an end, and will almost certainly end inconclusively. What happens in the third phase?

It will focus on the international and political elements of the war. Putin will be hoping that the increased cost of gas and food will dampen the enthusiasm for the war among NATO members, and that he will have support from starving Third World countries. Biden’s job will be to prevent that. So far, he has done well.