Imagine that you are the leader of a large Third World country. You didn’t approve of Putin’s invasion, but you refused to openly condemn it because you rely on Russian weapons, you have doubts about the reliability of the US, and (ahem) you have some authoritarian leanings yourself.
The problem is that the war is doing your country enormous harm. Food prices are soaring. Capital is leaking out of the country as the US raises interest rates to combat inflation that is related, in part, to the war. Your people are getting desperate, and your hold on power is getting shaky. Something needs to be done.
Wouldn’t it make sense to get together with some of your influential non-aligned friends and demand that Putin end the war? If enough of you join the effort, he won’t be able to ignore you.
Something like this has to happen in the near future unless China is willing to support the war by paying to feed the entire Third World, which seems pretty unlikely.