We know from bitter experience that Donald Trump has no vision for improving the lives of the American people. Policy simply doesn’t interest him. The only plausible rationales for a Trump candidacy in 2024 are to avenge his defeat and finish destroying liberal democracy in America. And that is precisely what he will do if he is elected.
Given Trump’s obsession with the supposedly rigged 2020 election, the outcome of a rematch with Biden will either be an undisputed Trump victory or a constitutional crisis. But what if he doesn’t run? Is a constitutional crisis inevitable if, say, DeSantis is the GOP nominee?
It is a given at this point that the GOP nominee in 2024, regardless of who it is, will be a ferocious reactionary. That, in and of itself, does not dictate that 2024 will end in blood; it will depend on the attitude of the individual. The thing to worry about here is that Trump has already created the road map for overturning the election results. It is possible that the process will work more or less on autopilot at the state level regardless of the behavior of the nominee.