Che Guevara reportedly broke with Fidel Castro after the Cuban Missile Crisis over the latter’s subservience to the wimpy revisionists running the USSR. Che left Cuba to spread the gospel of revolution all over the world. As we know, it didn’t end well either for Che or his cause.
I think we are going to see some of the same dynamic in Afghanistan. Some of the Taliban leadership will believe they have been called by God to make Afghanistan’s neighbors—most notably, Pakistan—Islamist. The Afghan government, however, will be reluctant to alienate Pakistan and China; its emphasis will be on building a medieval society in one country with any tools at its disposal. There will be conflict and confusion, with the pragmatists ultimately coming out on top, and the fundis ending up in the dustbin of history.