2024 Contender or Pretender: Hawley

Calling Cards: Salute to 1/6 Rioters; Economic Populism

Faction: Reactionary

Prospects: His objective is to persuade the GOP electorate to abandon its longstanding alliance with business–the agreement at the core of the party–in favor of a purely Reactionary fiscal and economic agenda. This idea flies in the face of 40 years of history, the GOP Reagan myth, the self-interest of the donor class, and all of the institutions supporting the party. Can it be done?

Prediction: Pretender. The answer to the question is no. The institutional enforcers and the donor class will squash him like a bug.