I can’t resist pointing out that my prediction from about six weeks ago was dead on target. We are exactly where I thought we would be after Super Tuesday.
The most likely outcome now is a rerun of 2016. If the race boils down to just Sanders and Biden, the latter should win, because: Sanders has shown over and over again that his theory of mobilizing huge numbers of disaffected left-leaning voters simply doesn’t work in practice; and progressives only represent about 40 percent of Democratic primary voters. If you don’t believe me on the electorate, just do the math; progressives only won a majority in Nevada.
Could anything upset Biden’s road to the nomination? That depends on Warren and Bloomberg. More on that later.