There are two iron laws of primary campaigns: every serious candidate is entitled to at least one boomlet; and, notwithstanding the noise and drama, the winner is usually the favorite at the beginning. Today, we are hearing that Sanders is surging. Is that real?
Only to a very limited extent. Yes, Bernie appears to have recovered nicely from his heart attack. He has a core of devoted supporters and plenty of money. In some ways, as I will explain in a future post, he would be a more formidable opponent for Trump than Warren, although she would make a far better president. He’s clearly not going away any time soon.
That said, he’s still way too far left for the mainstream of the Democratic Party, so he’s only going to win if we have a massive recession in the next few months, or if we have a brokered convention. Don’t bet the ranch on either of those occurring.