On the U.S. and Israel

Assume, as I do, that the next Israeli government is headed by someone other than Netanyahu. What will that mean for U.S.-Israeli relations?

Bibi has tied Israel’s interests to those of the GOP, and Trump in particular, to an unprecedented degree. The new government will have every incentive to reverse that, because: (a) it has to be clear now that Trump can’t be trusted to follow the company line on war with Iran; (b) Trump may very well not be re-elected; and (c) the American left is becoming increasingly pro-Palestinian as a result of Netanyahu’s clear contempt for it. That represents a grave danger for Israel in the future.

Expect the new government to reverse course and attempt to work with the American political system on a bipartisan basis. The fact that it will not be beholden to the ultra-Orthodox for votes will definitely help. The real question is whether it is already too late. I suspect it is, but only time will tell.