The concept: Millennials! Hold on to Clinton’s voters and drive up millennial participation by offering them lots of free stuff.
The challenge: It comes in three parts. First, she has to pick off as many Sanders voters as possible to win the fundi lane. Second, she has to convince Biden supporters that they should overlook ideology in favor of competence while she is reducing their candidate to a quivering mass of goo during the debates. Finally, she has to overcome just about every identity prejudice possible to beat Trump.
The prognosis: Step #1 is the easy part, although there are plenty of Bernie voters who would choose Biden over her for identity reasons. Step #2 is an exercise in threading the needle; the Biden supporters could easily opt for Booker or Harris over her if she comes across as being offensive. Step #3 is the really daunting part, because Warren is a dream opponent for Trump. He will, for the most part, refuse to engage on any of the ostensible issues and fight his campaign solely on identity, his strong suit; I’ll have more on that in my next Warren’s day post. His tactics will probably work unless we have a recession or an unsuccessful war. Chances of success: 20 percent.