Our erstwhile European allies are skeptical of the evidence that the Iranians or their proxies are directly involved in attacks on oil tankers. Why wouldn’t they be? Here’s the record:
- We all know what happened with the evidence of WMD in Iraq;
- Trump’s National Security Advisor has openly promoted war with Iran;
- Trump has openly disregarded the wishes of the Europeans on the Paris Agreement and the Iran deal; and
- Trump repeatedly threatens to impose ridiculous tariffs on the Europeans on specious national security grounds.
When we go to war with Iran, we’re not going to have any support from NATO; the only countries cheering us on (from the sidelines, of course) will be Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. It isn’t hard to imagine Trump going into a rage over that, complaining bitterly that we spend billions on NATO and get nothing in return, and deciding to pull out.
Putin will be thrilled, as usual.