David Davis had an op-ed in the Sunday Times in which he insisted that the EU will fold if the government holds firm. It’s exactly what the proponents of Leave said during the referendum campaign. Is he right?
No. The EU has to keep a unified position, which means it will reflect the lowest common denominator. That means a hard line. In addition, the UK needs good relations with the EU more than the EU needs the UK. If the government takes the Davis line, it will wind up with a catastrophic no deal, not a better deal.