I’ve been predicting a war with Iran practically from the day Trump was elected. The only questions are: (a) what will be the precipitant? (b) when will it start? (c) how broad will our objectives be? and (d) will nuclear weapons be involved?
From a partisan political perspective, Trump would be wise to start and win the war before November. It’s late July, so he doesn’t have much time. Can he devise a plausible pretext between now and then? We’ll see; for the most part, the Iranians have avoided obvious provocations.